Talk:Rollout (move): Difference between revisions

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:: Not guessing, writing an appropriate hypothesis, testing it in comparison with rough experimental data (past experience with rollout) and showing what is clearly incorrect.{{unsigned|Pokepro97}}
:: Not guessing, writing an appropriate hypothesis, testing it in comparison with rough experimental data (past experience with rollout) and showing what is clearly incorrect.{{unsigned|Pokepro97}}
:::I don't see any "experimental data". I don't even see you mentioning any "past experience" with Rollout. All I see is you saying, "According to the page currently, Rollout is more powerful than I consider plausible." That doesn't cut it; that's pure opinion. Until you can cite damage numbers supporting your theory over the page's current theory, it would be wrong for you to change it. [[User:Tiddlywinks|Tiddlywinks]] ([[User talk:Tiddlywinks|talk]]) 00:16, 14 April 2014 (UTC)
:::I don't see any "experimental data". I don't even see you mentioning any "past experience" with Rollout. All I see is you saying, "According to the page currently, Rollout is more powerful than I consider plausible." That doesn't cut it; that's pure opinion. Until you can cite damage numbers supporting your theory over the page's current theory, it would be wrong for you to change it. [[User:Tiddlywinks|Tiddlywinks]] ([[User talk:Tiddlywinks|talk]]) 00:16, 14 April 2014 (UTC)
::: Rough experimental data - past experience. I've used rollout a lot and it seems to increase in power in a linear fashion and not exponential.

Revision as of 00:58, 14 April 2014

Defense Curl

So if a Pokémon uses Defense curl then rollout, on the fifth turn the attack will have a base power of 960? That seems kinda high. Derian 18:55, 27 October 2009 (UTC)

I was wondering about this too. Even without defense curl, the 5th turn has a power of 480. That seems a bit ridiculous. --Legollama 20:26, 29 April 2010 (UTC)
According to a question and answer on PokeBase, the rollout-boosting effect of defense curl is not baton passed, so apparently not. The answer doesn't include any details on how they performed the test, but I'm guessing based on the date that it was most likely in a 5th gen game. Grumbledwarfskin (talk) 01:02, 19 September 2013 (UTC)

Baton Pass

If Defense Curl is used and Baton Pass is used, the effect of Rollout is still enhanced, yes? ht14 22:23, 8 September 2010 (UTC)

Base Power After x Moves

This page seems a bit underlooked. There have already been several discussions about the power of rollout after x moves. The behaviour shown on the page seems wildly unlikely.

Here is some data without defense curl after a certain number of moves as the page says (x2 starting from 30):

  • 1 - 30
  • 2 - 60
  • 3 - 120
  • 4 - 240
  • 5 - 480


Here is some data with defense curl after a certain number of moves as the page says (x2 starting from 60):

  • 1 - 60
  • 2 - 120
  • 3 - 240
  • 4 - 480
  • 5 - 960

My theory: the page is wrong and the power doesn't double each successful hit, it adds 30 to the power each successful hit.

With my theory without defense curl [y = 30x + 30]:

  • 1 - 30
  • 2 - 60
  • 3 - 90
  • 4 - 120
  • 5 - 150

With my theory with defense curl [y=30x+2x30, or y = 30x + 60]:

  • 1 - 60
  • 2 - 90
  • 3 - 120
  • 4 - 150
  • 5 - 180

With my theory with defense curl [y=2(30+30x), or y = 60x + 60]:

  • 1 - 60
  • 2 - 90
  • 3 - 180
  • 4 - 240
  • 5 - 300

With the BEDMAS I used above, I realised that the page doesn't state whether the base power or the total power is doubled (which is irrelevant in the clearly wrong information on the page).

Let's compare how balanced the power of the fifth successful strike is. First we should look at the probability of getting this far to show the relevance the figure. For this we will exclude any variables that will stop the strikes from being unsuccessful other than their base power (such as a protect move, disable, forced switchout, fainting, running out of pokemon etc.). The probability of all of the previous and the fifth strike hitting is 0.9^5 = 0.59049. Multiplying the accuracy probability with the final strike's power gives the average power. This shows that the page's incorrect data still does the whooping average power of 566.8704 and 265.7205 with and without defense curl first respectively. This is more than Explosion which is one of the most powerful moves because it requires sacrificing yourself. Other than slightly low accuracy, rollout has no disadvantages, not even recoil. Alternately, with the averages from the final results from my more likely formulae, without defense curl gives 88.5735 and with my two different formulae for with defense curl give 106.2882 (underpowered) and 177.147 (balanced).

In conclusion, the main page is wrong in terms of power accumulation for Rollout_(move) and instead of double in power each successful strike starting from 30, the power goes up by 30 each successful strike (y = 30x). Using Defense_Curl before rollout most likely doubles the base power (y = 60x) as increasing each strike by 30 would not be worth it (just use rollout once more after it finishes). If anyone disagrees with this conclusion, they will need to show evidence in favour of the main page's theory, as this is is more conclusive than the page which has no source. Thanks Pokepro97 (talk) 23:31, 13 April 2014 (UTC).

I'm worried nobody will see this and it will rot with the page continuing to be wrong, so if there is no response tomorrow, I will fix the page and hopefully that'll get someone's attention. Thanks Pokepro97 (talk) 16:59, 13 April 2014 (UTC).

I don't fully understand everything you're trying to say above, but it sounds like you're just guessing. Editing a page on a mere theory, lacking any actual supporting facts, would not be appropriate. It shouldn't be that hard to test. Tiddlywinks (talk) 20:52, 13 April 2014 (UTC)
Not guessing, writing an appropriate hypothesis, testing it in comparison with rough experimental data (past experience with rollout) and showing what is clearly incorrect.- unsigned comment from Pokepro97 (talkcontribs)
I don't see any "experimental data". I don't even see you mentioning any "past experience" with Rollout. All I see is you saying, "According to the page currently, Rollout is more powerful than I consider plausible." That doesn't cut it; that's pure opinion. Until you can cite damage numbers supporting your theory over the page's current theory, it would be wrong for you to change it. Tiddlywinks (talk) 00:16, 14 April 2014 (UTC)
Rough experimental data - past experience. I've used rollout a lot and it seems to increase in power in a linear fashion and not exponential.